Trump’s Impact on India

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Analyzing how Trump's potential second term could shape India-U.S. relations, focusing on trade, security, and diplomatic challenges.

If Donald Trump wins a second term, India expects a continuation of his policies, which align with India's trade and security goals. He is likely to support trade deals, advanced technology access, and increased U.S. military hardware for India, while avoiding stricter environmental standards that could impact India’s energy needs. Trump’s approach to free trade may resume past negotiations on a U.S.-India Free Trade Agreement. However, Trump's controversial methods, such as pressuring allies via social media and imposing tariffs, may strain bilateral relations, especially on issues like minority rights and democracy.

Diplomatically, Trump’s stance on Canada and ties with Indian ally Trudeau could affect India's relations with Washington. New Delhi may also face challenges regarding U.S. trade tariffs and the strict enforcement of trade regulations affecting India's exports. Trump’s strained ties with global leaders, particularly over tariff policies, will likely impact U.S. foreign relations, influencing India’s strategic positioning in the Middle East, Russia, and South Asia.

India’s neighbors remain cautious, with countries like Pakistan and Bangladesh wary of Trump's pro-Hindu rhetoric. As Trump pushes for more transactional diplomacy, India must navigate complex geopolitical tensions, balancing trade benefits with potential diplomatic conflicts.